玉米内州萎蔫病在中国的适生性分析  

Prediction of potential geographic distribution areas for the Goss's bacterial wilt and leaf blight of corn in China

作　　者：陈寔[1] 高文娜[1,2] 汪万春[2] 李建光[2] 陈洪俊[3] 李健强[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学植物病理系/农业部植物病理学重点开放实验室,北京100193 [2]北京出入境检验检疫局 [3]中国检验检疫科学研究院

出　　处：《植物检疫》2009年第5期9-12,共4页Plant Quarantine

基　　金：国家"十一五"重大科技支撑计划;"农林重大生物灾害防控技术研究"项目;"潜在入侵物种口岸侦测技术"(编号:2006BAD08A13);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-04-0128)资助

摘　　要：玉米内州萎蔫病是北美玉米生产中的严重病害,为预防其传入我国,本文采用GARP模型对该病害在中国潜在的适生区域进行预测,以期为检疫策略的制定提供参考。预测结果表明,该病害在我国全境均有不同程度的适生性,其高风险区主要是从我国东北部到西南部,包括黑龙江、吉林、辽宁、内蒙古、新疆、北京、河北、山西、陕西、宁夏、甘肃、青海、四川和西藏等省市的全部或部分地区。加强该病害入侵危害我国重要作物玉米的风险管理极为重要。Goss＇s Bacterial Wilt and Leaf Blight of Corn is a kind of severe disease occurring in the corn production in the North America. To avoid its entry into China and help the legislation of the quarantine strategies, the potential geographic distribution areas of the disease was predicted by means of GARP modeling system. The result indicated that the potential distribution areas covered all the provinces and cities in China, and the areas with high risks were those from northeast to southwest of China, including the whole or part area of Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Beijing, Hebei, Shanxi, Shaanxi, Ningxia, Gansu, Qinghai, Sichuan and Tibet. It is very important to improve the risk management of this disease to avoid its invasion and devastation of the corn production in our country.

关 键 词：玉米内州萎蔫病 GARP 适生性区域 

分 类 号：S435.131[农业科学—农业昆虫与害虫防治]