城市化、产业效率与经济增长  

Urbanization,Industrial Efficiency and Economic Growth

作　　者：中国经济增长与宏观稳定课题组 陈昌兵 张平 刘霞辉 张自然 

出　　处：《经济研究》2009年第10期4-21,共18页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大招标课题“我国经济结构战略性调整和增长方式转变”(批准文号06&ZD004-01);“贯彻落实科学发展观与完善宏观调控体系”(批准文号07&ZD004)资助

摘　　要：在中国低价工业化时期即将结束,高成本城市化已启动的背景下,本文从理论上分析了城市化的积聚效应和成本上升对产业竞争力的影响,并对中国城市化与产业竞争力的关系进行了实证研究。基本结论是,城市化的积聚效应对工业和服务业竞争力产生正向效应,工资成本对工业和服务业竞争力产生负向效应,住房成本对服务竞争力产生了负向效应。为了保持中国经济的可持续增长,应减少城市化成本的过快上升,转变城市化模式,以促进工业化和城市化的协调发展。Given the low-cost industrialization is about to be over and the high-cost urbanization has just started, we examine the agglomeration effect of urbanization and the impact of increasing cost on industrial competitiveness, as well as the relationship between urbanization and industrial competitiveness. From the above analysis we find that the agglomeration effect of urbanization has positive effect on the competitiveness of industry and service sector while wage cost has negative effect on them, and the housing cost has the negative effect on the competitiveness of service sector. In order to achieve sustainable growth, it ＇ s much needed to prevent the urbanization cost from growing too fast and transform the urbanization model to advance the process of urbanization in line with the process of industrialization.

关 键 词：城市化 积聚效应 产业竞争力 可持续增长 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济] F124