城市火险天气等级多因子综合预报法  

Comprehensive Forecast to Weather Degree of City Fire Danger through Many Meteorological Factors

作　　者：陈正洪[1] 杨红青[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北省气象科学研究所

出　　处：《火灾科学》1998年第3期18-23,共6页Fire Safety Science

摘　　要：在“城市火灾中关键气象因子的诊断分析”的基础上，通过权重系数法建立四季城市火灾率多因子综合预报法，并进行了合理的等级划分，对等级标准的回代检验表明：３级以上中高火险日数少，但对火灾概括率、日着火机率均高，说明该预报方法有较好的分辩预报能力。Based on the diagnostic analysis of critical meteorological factors in the city fire disaster, thed method of the comprehensive forecast to fire disasters occurring rate in the city for four seasons are build by weighted coefficient, and the reasonable weather degrees are classified, the results of return test to weather degree standard shows: not so many days with medium、high degree fire danger can summarize most of the fire events, which indicates that the forecast method has the ability to distinguish and forecast.

关 键 词：城市火险 综合预报法 气象因子 消防 火灾 

分 类 号：TU998.1[建筑科学—市政工程] X928.703[环境科学与工程—安全科学]