基于可比价投入产出表分解我国能源强度影响因素  

Analysis on determining factors of energy intensity in China based on comparable price input-output table

作　　者：夏炎[1] 杨翠红[1] 陈锡康[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100190

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2009年第10期21-27,共7页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：中国科学院知识创新工程青年人才领域前沿项目;国家社科基金重大项目(06&ZD010)

摘　　要：利用结构分解技术将影响能源强度的指标分解成:能源消耗系数、完全需要系数、最终需求结构系数、最终需求、最终能源消耗系数五个因素.通过1987-2005年的实物价值型能源投入产出可比价序列表,得出结论:能源消耗系数和完全需要系数是影响能源强度的主要因素.1992-2002年,能源消耗系数的变化是导致能源强度下降的主要原因,完全需要系数对1987-1992年的能源强度降低起到主要作用,但在2002-2005年,能源强度增加的最主要的原因是产业结构调整.In this paper, we use the structural decomposition method to develop the energy intensity decomposition model and to decompose energy intensity into five determinants： energy consumption coefficient, Leontief inverse coefficient, final demand structure, final demand level and final energy consumption coefficient. Empirical study is carried out on the constant price energy-input-output tables from 1987 to 2005. One main conclusion, that should be highlighted, is that between 1992 and 2002, energy consumption coefficient accounts for most of the decline in energy intensity. Moreover, the total requirement coefficient explains the energy intensity decline between 1987 and 1992. However, the most important reason of energy intensity increase is the change of industry structure influencing total requirement between 2002 and 2005.

关 键 词：结构分解技术(SDA) 能源强度 投入产出 能源消耗系数 

分 类 号：F222.3[经济管理—国民经济]