基于排队论的多层拦截巡航导弹效率分析  

Analysis of Intercept Efficiency for Multilayer Defense Cruise Missile Based on Queuing Theory

作　　者：郭建亮[1] 高歆[1] 申卯兴[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西三原713800

出　　处：《空军工程大学学报（自然科学版）》2009年第5期37-40,共4页Journal of Air Force Engineering University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家"863"计划资助项目(2006AAXX1513)

摘　　要：用排队论方法解决混合多层部署拦截巡航导弹效率问题。以3层部署为例,进行一定的假设,应用排队系统理论,建立了3层防空导弹武器拦截巡航导弹的效率模型。首先分别对每层防空导弹的拦截效率进行分析计算,综合后得出3层部署总的拦截效率,并计算出来袭巡航导弹的突防概率;最后给出算例,验证了模型的实用性与可行性。该方法既可以计算出给定部署方案的拦截效率,也可进行反推,得出给定拦截效率下的部署方案,具有很大的适用性,能够为作战部署计划的制定和实施提供参考依据,为指挥员提供相关的辅助决策信息。The queuing theory is applied to calculating the intercept efficiency of the mixed multiplayer disposition. Taking a three multiplayer disposition for example, based on some hypothesis and using the queuing theory, a model of intercept efficiency of a three lnultiplayer disposition is built. First, the intercept efficiency of each layer is calculated, based on which the total efficiency is got, and the penetration probability of the cruise missile is calculated. Finally, an example is given to verify the practicability and feasibility of the model. This method can be used to calculate the intercept efficiency when disposition schemes are given, it can also be used to get the disposition schemes to meet an intercepting efficiency. This can provide a reference basis for making and implementing the disposition schemes, and simultaneously provide some relative information for the commander in decision making.

关 键 词：拦截效率 巡航导弹 排队系统 地空导弹 多层部署 

分 类 号：TN95[电子电信—信号与信息处理]