水资源可再生能力评价的集对分析方法  

Set Pair Analysis Method for Evaluating Reproducible Ability of Water Resources

作　　者：潘争伟[1] 吴开亚[2] 金菊良[3] 汪明武[3] 

机构地区：[1]合肥工业大学资源与环境工程学院,安徽合肥230009 [2]复旦大学公共管理与公共政策创新基地,上海200433 [3]合肥工业大学土木与水利工程学院,安徽合肥230009

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2009年第5期24-26,93,共4页Water Resources and Power

基　　金：科技基础性工作专项基金资助项目(2007FY140900);中国气象局成都高原气象开放实验室基金资助项目(LPM2008018);安徽省优秀青年科技基金资助项目(08040106830);"十一五"国家科技支撑计划基金资助重点项目(2006BAB14B02)

摘　　要：针对传统水资源可再生能力评价方法所得评价结果多为离散等级、不能精确反映实际水资源可再生能力等级,分析了集对的同异反层次结构,提出了确定联系数的同异反层次法,据此建立了水资源可再生能力评价的集对分析模型并应用于黄河流域。结果表明,该方法原理简单、计算简便、评价结果精确,具有推广应用价值。Scientifically and reasonably evaluating reproducible ability water resources of can provide decision basis for exploitation and utilization of water resources. The various systematic analysis evaluation methods have already been widely used to evaluate reproducible ability of water resources, but the results of evaluation are mostly discrete values which can＇t accurately reflect reproducible ability of water resources. According to analyzing hierarchical structure of identity-discrepancy-contrary for set pair, the method of ＂hierarchy approach of identity-discrepancy-contrary＂ for confirming connection number is proposed. And the set pair analysis method for evaluating reproducible ability of water resources is established, which is used to evaluate the reproducible ability of water resources in Yellow River basin. Analytical study results indicate that the theory of this method is simple and the result of its evolution is accurate, so this method has a wide application value in hydrology and water resources.

关 键 词：水资源可再生能力 系统评价 联系数 同异反层次法 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源] N945.15[自然科学总论—系统科学]