地震红外长波辐射的短期预测指标研究  

Study of Short-term Earthquake Prediction Indicators for Thermal Infrared Outgoing Longwave Radiation

作　　者：康春丽[1] 李志雄[2] 孟庆岩[3] 荆凤[4] 李美[1] 闫伟[1] 申旭辉[4] 刘德富[4] 李安[5] 

机构地区：[1]中国地震台网中心,北京100045 [2]海南省地震局,海口570000 [3]中国科学院遥感应用研究所,北京100101 [4]中国地震局地震预测研究所,北京100036 [5]北京市地震局,北京100080

出　　处：《地震》2009年第B10期83-89,共7页Earthquake

基　　金：国家“十一五”科技支撑计划项目（2008BAC35B03）和国际合作交流计划项目（2007DFR20030）

摘　　要：卫星红外遥感技术在地震预测研究中的应用已受到人们的广泛关注。然而，如何能够在震前及时准确地识别出红外异常，从而对可能的地震活动做出有效的短期或短临预测，是目前迫切需要解决的关键技术难题。据此提出了开展区域性短期预测指标研究的思路，即对某一确定地区，结合地震活动开展红外信息的短期及短临预测指标研究。本文以川滇地区为例，通过大量的震例分析和总结，提出了与区域地震活动密切相关的红外短期异常判识指标，这一成果的获取对于有效开展地震的短期预测、实现防震减灾实效具有重要的现实意义和应用前景。Application of studies for earthquake prediction using thermal infrared satellite remote sensing technology has more and more been widely attended. However, how to identify thermal infrared anomalies prior to earthquake timely and accurately, and make an effective short-term or short-impending earthquake prediction is a key technical problem pressed for solution at present. The present paper proposes a thinking of carrying out regional study of short-term earthquake prediction indicators, that is, to carry out the study of short-term or short-impending earthquake prediction indicators, combining with seismic activity in a certain area using thermal infrared information. We take Sichuan-Yunnan region as an example to propose identification indicators of short-term thermal infrared anomalies based on the studies of a number of earthquakes. The result will be of very important meaning for the practical application to make an effective short-term or short-impending earthquake prediction.

关 键 词：长波辐射 地震红外异常 短期预测 川滇地区 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]