论人民币升值的中国产业升级效应：现实与理论之悖论  

The RMB upgrading effect appreciation on China's industrial:the paradox of reality and theory

作　　者：曹垂龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]梧州学院,梧州543002

出　　处：《亚太经济》2009年第6期84-88,共5页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：作者主持的国家社科基金课题:人民币汇改的绩校及进一步改革研究(07XJY036);广西高校“十一五”重点建设研究基地:粤港澳产业转移研究中心(桂教科研[2007]20号文);广西社会科学界联合会资助课题(桂社科联〔2009〕31号)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：汇率是比价,更是杠杆和政策工具。本文对汇率的杠杆属性、人民币升值的中国产业升级效应及其约束条件等进行了分析和研究,认为:理论上人民币升值具备中国产业升级和经济增长方式改善效应,然而现实中却受制于中国国情、人民币升值的成本、产业结构与增长方式的刚性等,形成现实绩效远小于理论效应。人民币汇率政策的选择与调整必须坚持统筹兼顾、量变到质变的科学发展观。The article analysis the leverage properties, the RMB appreciation effect to China＇s national industrial upgrading as well as its binding effect and come to the result that： in theory, the RMB appreciation can improve China＇s industrial upgrading as well as the economic growth, while, in reality, China＇s basic national situation and the cost for the appreciation of RMB will decrease the improvement effect of RMB appreciation, and form a paradox that the real effect is far less than the theoretical result. So, the choose and adjustment of RMB exchange rate policy should insist on the scientific development concept of integration, change from quantity to quality.

关 键 词：人民币升值 汇率的杠杆属性 产业升级效应 中国国情 

分 类 号：F822.0[经济管理—财政学]