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出 处:《人口与发展》2009年第5期63-70,56,共9页Population and Development
基 金:安徽省教育厅人文社会科学重点研究项目阶段性成果(项目编号:2009sk439zd)
摘 要:人口迁移流动对于城镇劳动力供给和区域劳动力市场一体化均有显著影响。农村迁移劳动力与城镇居民就业存在一定的替代关系,但对城镇劳动力就业冲击不大。城-城迁移人口对迁入地人口的失业率和劳动参与率均无明显影响。我国劳动力市场从计划经济时期的高度一体化逐步演变为省际之间的分割,再次走向大经济区之间的分割和区内的融合。这种融合是借助农民工的迁移流动来实现的,因而在本质上依旧是分割的。The flow of migration has a remarkable influence on urban labor supply and regional labor market integration. This article analyses 0.95 % original data from 2000 census to arrive at the following conclusion:there exists substitute relation between rural migration labor and urban residents' employment, however, rural migration labor has little impact on urban labor. The mi- gration from city to city has no obvious effect on move -in cities unemployment and participation rate. Based on the 1990 census and sampling survey in2005, the following conclusion can be reached with spatial analysis: - our labor market has been gradually transformed from the highly integration during planned economy period to the separation in provinces, then it will turn into the separation and integration among large economical areas. This kind of integration can be realised by the flow of rural workersinigration and is still regarded as separation in essence.
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