图书馆文献资源需求预测研究  

Research on Library Literature Resources Demand Forecast

作　　者：卢云[1] 谭凯波[1] 刘援军[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉首大学张家界校区图书馆,张家界427000

出　　处：《图书情报工作》2009年第21期72-74,67,共4页Library and Information Service

摘　　要：运用预测学知识,结合图书馆文献资源需求的时间序列趋势、季节因素及其它不规则因素,并联系图书馆文献资源建设的现实情况,对图书馆文献资源的需求量进行预测研究,以期使图书馆的文献资源建设达到最优化,并最大限度地满足读者需求。Using the knowledge of forecast study, considering the time series tendency, season factor as well as other irregular factors of library literature resources demand, this paper forecasts and studies library literature resources demand based on the reality of library literature resources construction, aiming to enable the library literature resources construction to achieve optimization, and to meet readers＇ needs greatly.

关 键 词：图书馆 文献资源需求 预测研究 

分 类 号：G253[文化科学—图书馆学]