灰色系统理论在车辆维修备件需求预测中的应用  

Application of Grey System Theories in the Prediction of Vehicle Maintenance Spares Demand

作　　者：杜俊霖[1] 王亮[1] 张建峰[1] 刘伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]军事交通学院汽车工程系,天津300161

出　　处：《物流技术》2009年第11期249-250,253,共3页Logistics Technology

摘　　要：应用灰色系统理论,以车辆维修备件历史消耗量为时间序列,建立需求预测模型,介绍了如何利用残差检验、关联度检验、后验差检验等方法验证模型的正确性,最后对车辆维修备件需求量进行预测。Using grey system theories and taking the historical consumption of the vehicle maintenance spares as time series, the paper establishes a demand prediction model, discusses how to use residue checking, correlativity checking and after-test residue checking to test the accuracy of the model and finally predicts the demand of the vehicle maintenance spares.

关 键 词：灰色系统理论 车辆 维修备件 

分 类 号：E144[军事—军事理论]