河南省第一产业增加值的关联分析与灰色预测  

The Relevance Analysis and Gray Forecast of the Value-added of Primary Industry of Henan Province

作　　者：李勇[1] 王毅彰[1] 

机构地区：[1]安阳师范学院资源环境与旅游学院,河南安阳455002

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2009年第32期16004-16005,16054,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：根据1998～2007年的相关数据,利用灰色关联度分析了农业、林业、牧业和渔业对河南省第一产业增加值的影响程度。采用灰色理论对2003～2007年相关数据建立了河南省第一产业增加值的预测灰色模型,经检验模型具有较好的精度。将该模型应用到2008～2012年河南省第一产业增加值的预测中,得出了河南省第一产业增加值在2011年将超过3000亿元的结论。According to the relevant data from 1998 to 2007, the gray relational grade had been used to analyze the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery impact on the value-added of primary industry of Henan Province. The gray model of value-added forecast of prima- ry industry had been created by gray theory using the relevant data from 2003 to 2007, and this gray model had fairly accuracy through testing. Applying this model to the value-added forecast of primary industry of Henan Province from 2008 to 2012, this article had came to the conclusion of the value-added exceeding 3 000 billion of primary industry of Henan Province in 2011.

关 键 词：第一产业 灰色关联 灰色预测模型 

分 类 号：F299.27[经济管理—国民经济]