新疆各地州市居民国内潜在出游力地区差异分析  

The Regional Diversity of Latent Domestic Emissiveness in Xinjiang

作　　者：栾福明[1] 熊黑钢[2] 

机构地区：[1]新疆大学旅游学院,乌鲁木齐830046 [2]北京联合大学应用文理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《生态经济》2009年第12期74-77,共4页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(40771194);北京市属高等学校人才强教计划资助项目(PHR200906125)

摘　　要：选取新疆16个地州市作为研究样本,以23项指标为分析因子,对新疆各地州市居民国内潜在出游力进行了因子和聚类分析,并建立了潜在出游力回归模型。结果表明:(1)潜在出游力是各种因素综合作用的结果,它不仅要靠"内力"的推动作用,而且需要"外力"的拉动作用;(2)居民国内潜在出游力的大小取决于经济发展水平、城市化进程、居民生活水平等显性因子以及交通状况等隐性因子;(3)各地州居民潜在出游力空间分异格局为:出游潜力随着社会经济中心的极化和扩散作用,由经济中心向周边地区呈现出递减的趋势,且大体呈环状分布。潜在出游力较大的地区主要集中在社会经济发展水平比较高的北疆地区,并且以乌鲁木齐市、克拉玛依市的潜在出游力最强;(4)第三产业综合性因子的主导地位逐渐凸显,传统因子交通等的作用有所改变,新因子互联网、固定电话户数等的作用开始显现。The paper, based on the 16 regions, spatial disparities are discovered by using 23 indexes. The methods such as factor of latent domestic emissiveness （LDE） of residents Xinjiang analysis and cluster analysis are used in the research. It find that, Firstly, LDE is the result of many factors, it not only rely on ＂in-strength＂, but also rely on ＂ex-strength＂. Secondly, the important factors affecting LDE are the level of economy, development of urbanization, living standard and traffic condition. Thirdly, the level of LDE is getting less from the center of economy, and it is around the center. The best region of LDE in Xinjiang is Urumqi and Karamay, and the better ones lie in the North of Xinjiang. Fourth, the mixed factors of tertiary industry is getting the mainly one, the affection of traditional factor, such as traffic condition, is changing. While the new factor, such as internet, number of telephone, are getting more and more important.

关 键 词：居民 潜在出游力 因子分析 聚类分析 新疆 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理] F327.63[经济管理—产业经济]