基于贝叶斯理论的指挥引导决策研究  

Study on command guidance decision based on Bayesian theory

作　　者：杨建广[1] 王瑾[2] 卢霞[3] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学电讯工程学院,西安710077 [2]空军工程大学科研部,西安710051 [3]空军装备研究院装备总体论证研究所,北京100076

出　　处：《仪器仪表用户》2009年第6期3-5,共3页Instrumentation

基　　金：军队科研基金资助项目

摘　　要：为提高对战场态势判断的准确性,从而提升指挥引导战斗机的效率,提出运用贝叶斯方法对敌机态势进行估计的方法。首先介绍了贝叶斯决策的基本原理、基于最小错误率的贝叶斯决策规则,以及基于最小风险的贝叶斯决策规则。其次,对两种决策规则分别进行仿真,在情况不明的状态下,可以得到比较合理的决策结果。最后说明了在判明战场态势的情况下如何进行指挥引导解算。In order to improve the precision of battlefield situation analysis and then improve the efficiency of command guidance of battle plan, the paper presents application of Bayesian method to analysis the situation of enemy. Firstly, the basal theory of Bayesian decision and Bayesian decision rules based on least error and least risk were introduced. Then , we made simulations for the two decision rules. The results of decision are logical when instance is intangibly. Finally ,the measure to resolve command guidance when have ascertained the battlefield situation is introduced.

关 键 词：贝叶斯决策 指挥引导 态势估计 最小错误率 最小风险 

分 类 号：V249.1[航空宇航科学与技术—飞行器设计]