基于能力和脆弱性分析的火灾风险综合评价体系研究  

Fire Risk Evaluation System Based on Analysis of Ability and Frangibility

作　　者：刘松涛[1] 刘文利[1] 孙旋[1] 张向阳[1] 张靖岩[1] 彭华[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国建筑科学研究院建筑防火研究所,北京100013

出　　处：《科技导报》2009年第22期76-80,共5页Science & Technology Review

基　　金：中国高技术研究发展计划(863计划)项目(2007AA11Z125);中国建筑科学研究院自筹资金课题"建筑火灾风险评价关键技术研究"(20080111330730002)

摘　　要：在分析火灾风险评估对建筑消防安全重要意义的基础上,针对目前火灾风险评估研究中存在的问题,提出基于抵御和破坏能力分析的建筑火灾风险综合评价方法。首先建立建筑火灾风险评价指标体系,采取专家打分系统评价基本单元,应用层次分析法确定各级指标的权重值,并根据对抵御和破坏力量的计算分析,确定评价目标的风险水平。论文以国家体育馆为实例,验证火灾风险评价体系在工程中应用的可行性。研究方法可用于进行大型公共建筑的火灾风险评估,对提高消防水平,完善建筑火灾风险评价方法体系具有一定的意义。Fire risk evaluation is an important issue for a society. This paper proposes a method of fire risk evaluation, based on analysis of ability and frangibility. In a fire risk evaluation index system, the basic cells are evaluated through an expert grading system, the weighted values of all levels of indexes are determined through the Analytic Hierarchy Process, and based on the calculation and analysis of protection ability and damage potential, the risk level of the evaluation object is determined. As an example, the fire risk evaluation of the National Stadium as an example is carried out, which shows that this evaluation method can be applied to large building engineering. Some issues related to the applications of this method are discussed. The method can be used for the fire risk evaluation for large public buildings, and plays a part in improving fire protection level and perfecting building fire risk evaluation method system.

关 键 词：火灾风险 指标体系 抵御能力 破坏能力 专家系统 

分 类 号：X932[环境科学与工程—安全科学]