煤与瓦斯突出影响因素评价分析的模糊层次分析方法  

Evaluation and Analysis on Influential Factors of Coal and Gas Outburst Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

作　　者：孙鑫[1,2] 徐杨[1,2] 林柏泉[1,2] 陆振国[1,2] 丁学龙[1,2] 朱传杰[1,2] 赵延旭[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学安全工程学院,徐州221008 [2]煤炭资源与安全开采国家重点实验室,徐州221008

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2009年第10期145-149,共5页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(50534090);国家"十一五"科技支撑计划项目(2007BAK29B01);国家重点基础研究发展计划("973")项目(2005cb221506)

摘　　要：采用模糊层次分析法(FAHP),建立煤与瓦斯突出模糊层次分析模型,并进行分析计算。依据模糊层次分析法,选择影响平煤集团12矿己组煤层煤与瓦斯突出的主要因素,确定各因素的权重系数,并对其进行分析、排序,最后进行综合评定煤与瓦斯突出的影响因素。结果表明:地应力D,地质构造T,煤层瓦斯压力P等是影响该矿己组煤层煤与瓦斯突出的主要因素。该FAHP的应用为制定相应的煤与瓦斯突出防治措施,提供了科学的理论依据和切合实际的评价方法。An analytic model for coal and gas outburst was firstly established by using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP） method. Then, according to FAHP, the weights of each influential factors, selected as the main factors affecting coal and gas outburst in the twelfth coal of Pingdingshan Coal Mining Group, were confirmed and arranged in order with the model. The results show that ground stress, geological structure and gas pressure are the main factors affecting coal and gas outburst. This study provides scientific and theoretical basis for the evaluation and prevention of coal and gas outburst.

关 键 词：煤与瓦斯突出 影响因素 模糊层次分析法(FAHP) 指标体系 危险评价 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]