灰色理论在非煤矿山事故预测中的应用  

Application of Gray Theory to the Prediction of Non-coal Mine Accidents

作　　者：朱婵[1] 陆愈实[1] 龚欢[2] 边学丛[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学工程学院,武汉430074 [2]中铁大桥局集团第四工程有限公司,南京210031

出　　处：《安全与环境工程》2009年第6期81-84,共4页Safety and Environmental Engineering

摘　　要：针对非煤矿山事故发生的特点,根据灰色理论的基本原理,建立了非煤矿山事故灰色理论预测模型,预测非煤矿山安全事故的发展趋势,以便掌握非煤矿山事故发生次数的规律,为政府制定安全生产目标、企业制定安全生产政策和建立安全预警控制系统提供依据。According to the characteristics of non-coal mine accidents and the basic principles and features of grey theory,a prediction model for the non-coal mine accidents was established to predict the development trend and the occurrence frequency of safety accidents in non-coal mines.This will provide the proof for the government to formulate the aims of safe production and for the enterprises to draw up safe production policies and set up the early warning control system for safety.

关 键 词：安全工程 非煤矿山 灰色理论 预测模型 

分 类 号：X928[环境科学与工程—安全科学]