福州市闽江过江交通量预测与分析  

The Traffic Forecasts and Analysis of Minjiang River in Fuzhou

作　　者：王秀明[1] 周新年[1] 方万春[1] 缪小红[1] 

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学交通学院,福建福州350002

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2010年第1期1-3,共3页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(30571461);福建省自然科学基金项目(2008J0327)

摘　　要：过江交通问题是沿江城市交通发展的瓶颈,过江通道的建设是沿江城市需解决的首要问题。福州市过江交通成为阻碍福州市城市交通发展的门槛。通过选择双约束重力预测模型预测福州市闽江未来年过江交通量,并分析其原因及对策,为福州市未来过江交通规划提供科学依据。The construction of bridges crossing rivers is of great urgency and therefore the primacy should be given to it in tackling the bottleneck constraining the traffic development of cities along the rivers. The traffic development in Fuzhou city has now hit a bottleneck of poor traffic across rivers. Hence,this artical sets out to predict the annual traffic across rivers in the future years through constrained gravity model and explore the causes and the corresponding countermeasures, which is aimed to serve as a reference and basis for the planning of traffic across rivers in Fuzhou.

关 键 词：交通规划 过江通道 交通量预测 双约束重力模型 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]