金融危机中凸显的中国经济发展的循环怪圈  

Cycle Strange Circle of China's Economic Development Highlighted in Financial Crisis

作　　者：夏华[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学经济学系,天津300222

出　　处：《现代财经（天津财经大学学报）》2009年第12期9-14,共6页Modern Finance and Economics：Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(08BJL009);天津财大科研发展基金项目(Q0916)的部分研究成果

摘　　要：中国宏观经济运行的整体结构必须有进一步的把握。我们从几个重大现象和实践出发回溯到管束宏观经济运行的基本结构和机制,发现中国经济在相当长的时间里处于一种循环上的怪圈,即在对外贸易战略、有效需求、收入分配、产业结构四者之间形成一种相互强化的负反馈,外部金融危机使这一怪圈更为凸显。本文分析了怪圈的成因和运行机制,认为产业结构调整是跳出怪圈的关键之举,并从新农村建设和技术革命两个方面初步加以探讨。We must grasp the whole structure of the China macro economy＇s operation further. We start out from several momentous phenomena and practices, then backdate to fundamental structure and mechanism, which restrains the macro economy＇s operation. We finds there are a cycle strange circle, namely between international trade strategy, effective demand, income gap and industrial structure forms a kind of mutual intensification negative feedback, the exterior financial crisis highlights the strange circle. The article analyzes the cause and the operational mechanism of the strange circle, we think readjusting industrial structure is the key to jump out the strange circle.

关 键 词：循环怪圈 贸易战略 有效需求 收入差距 产业结构 

分 类 号：F831.59[经济管理—金融学]