辽宁省主导海洋产业的确定  

A Study on Determinning Marine Leading Industries for Liaoning Province

作　　者：张耀光[1] 韩增林[1] 刘锴[1] 刘桂春[1] 张璐[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,大连116029

出　　处：《资源科学》2009年第12期2192-2200,共9页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40671052);辽宁省高校科技项目部分研究内容(编号:2008JD44;2008JD45)

摘　　要：海洋产业是指人类开发利用海洋资源发展海洋经济形成的各种生产和生活事业的总和。根据国民经济结构中主导产业的内涵,海洋经济中的海洋产业也可以确定主导海洋产业。论文分析了形成辽宁海洋产业的资源基础、海洋产业在全国的地位、发展与结构特征等。由研究可知,辽宁主导海洋产业不仅随时间呈增长趋势,而且在地区分布上趋向于均衡。在确定主导海洋产业的方法上,应用偏离-份额分析法(Shift—Share Method)、主成份分析法和层次分析法。通过偏离-份额分析法可以明确具有优势增长和竞争力的海洋产业部门,通过主成份分析可以明确综合实力水平强的海洋产业部门。把2种计量方法得出的结果进行综合分析,从而确定海洋水产、滨海旅游、沿海造船和海洋交通等为辽宁的海洋主导产业。论文最后对辽宁的海洋主导产业的布局提出了发展方向和重点。The dominant industry is the core of an entire industrial system for a country or a region because it shows fundamental advantages possessed by a region and leads and drives the improvement to the industrial structure and economic development.The marine industry is referred to the combination of all production and living activities formed in processes of human exploration and utilization of marine resources and development of marine economy.The marine leading industry in marine economy can thus be identified by investigating the definition and connotation of the leading industry in the national economic structure.In the present work,the authors examined the resource base,the priority and status of marine industry in China,the development and structure characteristics,and the spatial distributions of marine industry in Liaoning province.Results indicated that dominant marine industries in Liaoning province were not only increasing with time,but also showing a trend in a relatively even spatial distribution.The shift-share method（SSM）and principal component analysis were employed to identify the leading marine industry.SSM has the ability to quantify advantages of a variety of marine sectors and to measure their competitiveness respectively.Also,the PCA can identify marine sectors with a highly comprehensive strength.It was found that aquiculture,coastal tourism and shipbuilding were considered top three leading industries in terms of their respective comprehensive strengths.Based on the integrated analysis of the results derived from the two methods,we identified fishery,coastal tourism,shipbuilding and marine transportation as the leading marine sectors in Liaoning province.In the end,it was suggested the direction and key points of the development and potential spatial distributions of dominant marine industries in Liaoning province.Some suggestions are given as follows,i.e.,optimizing the industrial structure further and developing new marine sectors to provide the potential for future development of marine

关 键 词：主导产业 主导海洋产业 偏离-份额分析方法 主成份分析 辽宁 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]