投资和投机因素对我国房地产价格影响的多元回归分析  

A Multiple Regression Analysis of Investment and Speculation Impact on China's Real Estate Prices

作　　者：王飞[1] 刘开瑞[1] 李跃柏[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学国际商学院,陕西西安710062

出　　处：《西华大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2009年第6期91-93,共3页Journal of Xihua University(Philosophy & Social Sciences)

摘　　要：在我国居民高储蓄率的前提下,房地产市场成了资金投向的重点区域。本文采用1997-2008年全国以及北京市的数据,使用多因素回归模型来分析上一期房地产价格和居民人均可支配收入对本期房地产价格的影响,得出了目前影响我国房地产价格的主要因素为投资和投机因素以及局部地区已经出现较为明显的房地产泡沫的结论。Under the premise of a high savings rate in China＇s population, the real estate market has become the key areas of funds flow. This paper uses 1997-2008 data of the State and Beijing City, employs multiple regression analysis model to analyze the impact of previous real estate prices and the residents per capita disposable income on the current real estate prices, and then comes to the conclusion that the main factors that affect China＇s real estate prices are investment and speculation, and some obvious real estate bubble emerge in some areas.

关 键 词：投资 投机 房地产价格 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]