我国供热能耗调查与定额方法的研究  

Study on Investigation and Quota Method of Heating Energy Consumption

作　　者：郝斌[1] 刘珊[2] 任和[3] 戚仁广[1] 林泽[1] 

机构地区：[1]住房和城乡建设部科技发展促进中心,北京100835 [2]北京建筑工程学院环境与能源工程学院,北京100044 [3]中国建筑科学研究院,北京100013

出　　处：《建筑科学》2009年第12期18-23,共6页Building Science

基　　金：住房和城乡建设部供热体制改革专项"供热能耗定额与管理方法的研究"项目(2008-R1-2)

摘　　要：本文通过对北方地区22个城市134家供热单位的调研,经统计分析计算得出了近3年的实际供热能耗值及理论能耗值。根据统计结果,利用灰色理论方法对下一年的供热能耗进行了预测,同时考虑实际值与理论值的差距,利用聚类分析方法确定了各城市的供热能耗定额值。通过对能耗定额方法的研究,可以促进城市及其供热单位的合理用能,进一步推动我国供热节能事业的发展。In this paper, based on the investigation of 134 heating units in 22 Northern cities, the last three years＇ heating energy consumption value, both practical and theoretical, were calculated by statistical methods. According to the results, heating energy consumption in the next year was forecasted by using gray theory. Furthermore, combined with the gap of actual value and theoretical value, the heating energy consumption limit for a city was determined by using cluster analysis method. The research of quota method could encourage reasonable energy using in cities and heating units, and could further promote the development of China＇s heating energy-saving industry.

关 键 词：供热能耗统计 供热能耗预测 供热能耗定额 

分 类 号：TU833[建筑科学—供热、供燃气、通风及空调工程] TQ332.9[化学工程—橡胶工业]