试析美国奥巴马政府的核不扩散政策  

On Obama Administration's Nuclear Nonproliferation Policies

作　　者：姜振飞[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学公共管理学院

出　　处：《当代亚太》2009年第6期106-118,共13页Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies

基　　金：浙江省社科规划重点项目<冷战后的美国核战略与中国国家安全>的阶段性成果项目编号:08CGZZ001ZQ

摘　　要：奥巴马政府上台后,美国核不扩散政策出现了重要转变。这一转变既是奥巴马政府对布什政府核不扩散政策进行反思的结果,又是修复美国国际形象和维护其世界领导地位的战略需要,更是美国对朝鲜和伊朗的核开发问题施加压力的一种手段。奥巴马政府对美国核不扩散政策的调整,有利于国际核军控工作走上正轨;将对中国产生多重影响;对地区核问题的解决所产生的效果具有不确定性。After United States President Barack Obama came into office, US nuclear nonproliferation policies underwent radical transformations. These shifts are in part due to the review by Obama＇s administration on the nuclear nonproliferation policies of its predecessor, and in part owing to the efforts at improving the US international image and the strategic need to safeguard US leadership in world affairs. Most importantly, however, it is deemed a means to exert more pressures on North Korean and Iranian nuclear programs. Obama＇s changes to US nuclear nonproliferation policies are indeed helpful at putting international nuclear arms control efforts back on track. To China, USes new policy direction will bring forth multiple effects-both positive as well as negative ones. Sino-US cooperation on nuclear nonproliferation will be carried over from the Bush era, while China will benefit from the overall improvement in international security environment; however, China will need to be wary of the possible constrains to its rise, threats to its ＂minimal deterrence＂ nuclear capacity, a marginalization of its role in the Six-party Talks, as well as the uncertainties that Obama＇s new nuclear non-proliferation initiatives can effect on regional stability so essential to China＇s peaceful development.

关 键 词：奥巴马政府 核不扩散政策 变化动因 

分 类 号：D815.2[政治法律—国际关系]