农民的土地调整意愿及其影响因素分析——基于2006年中国综合社会调查数据  

Farmers' Willingness of Land Reallocations and the Determinants——Based on Survey Data of CGSS in 2006

作　　者：张三峰[1] 杨德才[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学经济学院

出　　处：《中国农村观察》2010年第1期15-24,33,共11页China Rural Survey

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学规划项目"绩效考察与前瞻分析:新中国农地制度变迁的实证研究"(项目编号:06JA790052);国家社会科学基金重大项目"经济转轨中城乡互动;工农互促的协调发展道路问题研究"(项目编号:05&ZD033);教育部人文社会科学重大项目"长三角土地制度创新与土地利用效率关系研究"(项目编号:08JJD790120)的资助

摘　　要：本文使用2006年中国综合社会调查数据,运用m-Logit模型检验了农民个体特征因素对其土地调整意愿的影响。研究发现:干部利益假说在土地调整过程中并不存在;土地是农民的基本生存保障,年龄的增长、个人收入的增加及非农就业机会的增多并没有使农民放弃其对土地的占有;基于土地的保障功能和"恋土情结",人均土地较少的农民倾向于通过土地调整来获得土地;农民及其家庭成员在享有医疗保险和养老保险后,其土地调整倾向会显著降低。因此,要解决政府稳定土地承包权政策与农民偏好土地调整之间的不协调问题,一方面要稳定农民的土地承包权,另一方面要建设和健全农村土地流转市场机制和农村社会保障体系。By using mlogit model and based on the survey data of 1682 farmers from CGSS 2006,this paper analyses the impacts of farmers' characteristics on the land reallocations and reached four conclusions.Firstly,the benefit hypothesis of cadre does not occur in the course of land reallocations.Secondly,farmers haven't abandoned possession of land with the increasing of age,income and chances of non-agricultural employment as land is the basic living guarantee for farmers.Thirdly,because of land's function of basic living guarantee and farmers' land complex,farmers prefer to acquire land through land reallocations.Fourthly,farmers could significantly lower their inclination of land reallocations if they and their families obtain health care and pension security.Ulteriorly,this paper considers that stabilizing farmers' land contract rights as well as building the transfer mechanism of land market and the social security in rural area can solve the conflict between the government's policy of stabling land contract and farmers' preference on land reallocations.

关 键 词：农民 土地调整意愿 土地制度 影响因素 

分 类 号：F323.89[经济管理—产业经济] F321.1