国际贸易系统化水平研究  

A Research on the Systematic Level of International Trade

作　　者：昝廷全[1] 陈国珍[1] 应思思[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国传媒大学中国系统经济研究中心,北京1000024

出　　处：《中国传媒大学学报（自然科学版）》2009年第4期17-22,共6页Journal of Communication University of China：Science and Technology

基　　金：教育部"新世纪优秀人才支持计划"资助(NCET-060191)

摘　　要：本文以全球经济危机为大背景,首先从系统经济学角度简要分析了全球经济危机持续时间的主要影响因素,然后将重点放在国际贸易系统化水平研究上;其次,利用字典序原理方法在二维空间上研究系统化水平,用贸易额和贸易顺差两个变量分析了各国贸易系统化水平状况;第三部分通过加入名义因素,将系统化水平的研究由二维空间推广到三维空间,然后借助相对贸易规模和平衡因子对贸易系统化水平重新进行度量,把问题的研究降到了一维实数空间,并计算出了全球经济系统的关键子网所包含的国家和地区个数。最后,文章对两种方法得出的不同结果进行了对比分析。This paper studies the systematic level of international trade under the background of global economic crisis. In section one, we summarize the main factors influencing the duration of global economic crisis from the view of systems economics, and put the emphasis on systematic level of international trade. In section two, we study the systematic level by lexicographic order principle in a two-dimensional space, and analyze the systematic level of each country considering trade value and trade surplus. In section three, we extent the study from a two-dimensional space to a three-dimensional space by introducing nominal as the third variable. In this part, we re-measure the systematic level of trade in virtue of the relative size of trade and the balance factor to bring the research down to one-dimensional real space, and then calculate the number of countries or areas which are included in the key-subnet of the global economic system. In the last section, we present a comparable analysis of the results from the two methods and provide a summary for the paper.

关 键 词：全球经济系统 国际贸易 系统化水平 字典序 平衡因子 关键子网 

分 类 号：TN391[电子电信—物理电子学]