我国出口贸易预警系统理论与实证分析  

Analysis of Early Warning Systems Theory and Demonstration of China′s Export Trade

作　　者：马跃如[1] 白勇[2] 程伟波[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院,长沙410083 [2]湖南涉外经济学院商学部,长沙410205

出　　处：《商业研究》2010年第1期31-33,共3页Commercial Research

基　　金：教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划项目<复杂经济环境下不确定性问题决策理论研究>;项目编号:IRT0761

摘　　要：近几年来,在世界贸易自由化不断发展的大环境下,我国外贸出口一直保持着强劲的势头。但各种不利因素对我国出口贸易的影响也在不断增加,技术性壁垒,外国反倾销等措施都使得我国的出口面临巨大的压力与挑战。建立我国出口贸易预警机制,以促进我国出口贸易的健康发展,这对于我国对外贸易而言,有着重要的理论意义与实际意义。In recent years, under the environment of unceasing development of world trade liberalization, China＇s foreign trade has maintained strong momentum. However, a variety of adverse factors, such as technical barriers and foreign anti- dumping measures bring tremendous pressures and challenges on China＇s export. Building China＇s export trade early warning mechanism in order to promote the healthy development of China＇s export trade has important theoretical significance and practical significance on China＇s foreign trade.

关 键 词：出口贸易 预警系统 KLR信号分析法 

分 类 号：F710[经济管理—产业经济]