基于可能度的摩托化机动路线选择决策研究  

Probability-based Research into the Choice-making of Motorized Manoeuvre Routes

作　　者：李爱武[1] 

机构地区：[1]汽车管理学院运输指挥系,安徽蚌埠233011

出　　处：《国防交通工程与技术》2010年第1期44-46,共3页Traffic Engineering and Technology for National Defence

摘　　要：分析了影响摩托化机动路线选择的因素:时效性、安全性和抗断性,指出其中部分因素应用区间数度量,提出运用区间数比较的可能度决策方法进行路线之间的比较,并给出了决策示例。基于可能度的区间数决策理论适用于战时不确定环境下的决策问题。Timeliness, security and survivability are the three factors affecting the choice of motorized manoeuvre routes. Some of them should be measured by the interval number. The probability-based decision-making method by the interval number is applied to choice of the best route in the paper, with a practical decision-making example given. This method may be used for the decision-making in the uncertain wartime environment.

关 键 词：可能度 路线选择 决策 

分 类 号：U113[交通运输工程]