中国成品油市场结构与生产者行为博弈分析  

ANALYSIS OF OIL PRODUCT MARKET STRUCTURE AND PRODUCER BEHAVIOR GAME

作　　者：万玺[1] 汪涛[2] 李钦[3] 

机构地区：[1]重庆科技学院经济管理学院,重庆401331 [2]解放军后勤工程学院油料应用与管理工程系,重庆401331 [3]重庆科技学院人事处,重庆401331

出　　处：《西南石油大学学报（社会科学版）》2010年第1期1-4,共4页Journal of Southwest Petroleum University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(07GJ391-154)

摘　　要：对中国成品油市场进行具体分析,认为中国成品油市场是一个由中国石油和中国石化两大巨头主导的、多种投资主体参与的双寡头垄断有限竞争市场。对双寡头博弈行为进行分析,得出产量博弈的状况近期不会出现,价格博弈将使企业走入囚徒困境的结论。进一步对成品油其他生产者的行为进行分析,得出它们不具备产量与价格优势的结论,为消费者尤其是集团消费者相关决策提供参考。An analysis of China's oil product market reveals that the oil product market is an imperfect competition market dominated by the twin oligarchies of CNPC and Sinopec with plural investment subjects.The authors believe that there won't be any game in oil product yields and the price game between the twin oligarchies will drive them into prisoner's dilemma.And a further study of other oil producers' behavior shows that they do not have any advantages in yields and price.It is hoped these studies can offer some help in decision making process to oil product consumers.

关 键 词：成品油市场 市场结构 双寡头 博弈论 石油企业 

分 类 号：F764.1[经济管理—产业经济]