衰老矿井识别及矿井生命周期仿真研究  

Study on identification of the aged coal mine and coal mine lifecycle system simulation

作　　者：陆刚[1] 程伟[1] 韩可琦[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学矿业工程学院,江苏徐州221008

出　　处：《河南理工大学学报（自然科学版）》2009年第5期689-694,共6页Journal of Henan Polytechnic University（Natural Science）

摘　　要：通过对衰老矿井的称谓及其基本概念的综述分析,界定了衰老矿井的概念和含义,通过对矿井衰老影响因素及相关性分析,确定采用剩余服务年限作为矿井衰老的识别指标,采用聚类分析的方法,确定了衰老矿井剩余服务年限的判断标准为:大中型矿井10 a,小型矿井5 a.在此基础上,应用衰老矿井的判断标准和影响因素,建立了矿井生命周期系统动力学模型,模型通过历史数据拟合验证,证明了系统模型能够反映实际矿井生产系统的行为特性,能够模拟矿井生产经营过程,能够判断矿井衰老拐点及预测矿井剩余服务年限.The conception and meaning of the aged coal mine is defined by summing up related names of the aged coal mine and basic conception analysis.In order to set up the criteria for a aged coal mine,the paper choses mine remaining service life as identification standard to identify whether a coal mine is aged or not on the basis of correlation analysis of influence factors.By the cluster analysis method the paper determines the remaining service life criteria for the aged coal mine,and based on which 10 a is the criteria for large and medium-size coal mine and 5 a for small-size.Then the paper put forward a system dynamic model for a coal mine lifecycle which is proved correctly and effectively by fitting test of historical data employing identification standard and influence factors of the aged coal mine.The model can simulate a coal mine lifecycle and reappear the past action characteristics,judge inflection point and predict remaining service life of a mine.

关 键 词：衰老矿井 生命周期 系统动力学模型 仿真 

分 类 号：TD05[矿业工程]