后金融危机下的“民工荒”问题研究  

An Analysis on the Shortage of Migrant Workers after the Financial Crisis

作　　者：蒯鹏州[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院,北京100875

出　　处：《淮阴师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）》2010年第1期47-50,共4页Journal of Huaiyin Teachers College(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：2007年度教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"马克思主义与以人为本的科学发展观研究"(07JZD0001);2008年度国家社会科学基金"从人口大国走向人力资源强国战略:基于人本视角的整合研究"(08BRL002)

摘　　要：受金融危机的影响,国内制造业的"民工荒"现象暂时被压制,民工就业难问题凸显。但随着金融危机影响的消退,发达地区再次出现"民工荒"征兆。基于刘易斯模型和托达罗模型的分析框架,从剩余劳动力的供给和需求两方面来看:供给方面,农村仍存有大量剩余劳动力,剩余劳动力的受教育结构依然偏低;需求方面,产业升级使城市部门对劳动力人力资本存量的要求发生了变化。由于需求发生了持续性的变化而供给却未有调整,剩余劳动力市场的供求关系出现结构性失衡,民工就业难与"民工荒"并存的现象随之出现。Influenced by the Finance Crisis, the shortage of migrant workers in domestic manufacturing industry has been suppressed temporarily, and that it is difficult for migrant workers to find a job can be seen everywhere. However, shortage of migrant workers comes again as the influence of the Financial Crisis has been in decline. In this paper, we set an analytical framework according to Lewis model and Todaro model, and try to explain the issue from the perspectives of supply and demand of the surplus labor force. From the supplying perspective, there still exist a large number of surplus rural labors who are poorly educated. From the demanding perspective, because of industrial upgrading, the urban sector needs labors with higher human capital. Thus there appears the demand-supply imbalance of migrant workers, leading to the shortage of migrant workers.

关 键 词：民工荒 产业升级 人力资本存量 

分 类 号：F241.4[经济管理—劳动经济]