武汉市城镇居民消费结构发展趋势分析  

Development trend forecast of consumption structure in Wuhan urban residents

作　　者：夏剑锋[1] 周李[2] 

机构地区：[1]武汉工程大学管理学院,湖北武汉430205 [2]武汉工程大学邮电与信息工程学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《武汉工程大学学报》2010年第2期17-21,共5页Journal of Wuhan Institute of Technology

摘　　要：利用武汉市城镇居民家庭人均收入和消费结构相关数据,运用扩展的线性支出模型,对武汉市城镇居民消费结构发展演变进行预测,得出以下基本结论:恩格尔系数下降、衣着支出比重趋于上升、家庭设备用品及服务支出比重逐年上升、医疗保健支出比重有略微下降趋势、交通与通信支出将成为新的消费热点、教育文化消费继续上升、居住消费支出比重趋于下降、杂项商品与服务支出将趋于稳定。Using the related data of the Wuhan urban family income per capita consumption structure, using extended linear expenditure model, the paper predicted consumption structure evolution and development of Wuhan city residents. It reached the following conclusions. Engel＇s coefficient falls off. the proportion of clothing expenditures tends to rise. The proportion of expenditure of domestic equipment products and services increases year by year. The increasing proportion of expenditure health care expenditures are slightly downward trend, the proportion of traffic and communication will become the new consumption hotspot. The education and cultural consumption will continue to rise, consumer spending tends to decline, the proportion of miscellaneous goods and services will be more stable.

关 键 词：城镇居民 消费结构 趋势预测 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]