铁路运输与区域经济系统相关性与协调性定量评价  

Quantitative Evaluation of Correlation and Coordination between Railway Transportation and Regional Economy

作　　者：余沛[1] 杜文[1] 池茂儒[2] 

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输学院,四川成都610031 [2]西南交通大学牵引动力国家重点实验室,四川成都610031

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2010年第2期14-17,23,共5页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(50705079)

摘　　要：交通运输与区域经济是相互影响、相互促进和相互制约的两个系统,两者之间只有形成一种动态平衡协调关系,才能相互促进、协调发展。利用相关性分析与灰色关联度模型对铁路运输与河南省区域经济两个系统的相关性进行了定量分析;对于交通运输与区域经济发展的协调性,运用多维灰色动态协调模型,进行数学建模分析。通过运用多种量化工具,分析结果表明,铁路运输与区域经济发展之间相关性极高,应加强铁路运输适应区域经济发展的需求。根据上述结论,提出相关建议。The railway transportation and regional economy are two interactive, mutually promoting and mutually restrictive systems. They can promote each other and develop coordinately only when a dynamic balance relationship between these two systems is formed. The correlation between railway transportation and regional economy of Henan Province is quantitatively analyzed by utilizing correlation analysis and grey correlation model. The coordination between transportation and regional economic development is analyzed by establishing mathematical model with multidimensional grey dynamic coordination model. The results of analysis using several quantitative tools show that the correlation between railway transportation and regional economic development is extremely high, and the railway transportation still cannot completely adapt the demand of regional economic development. According to the above conclusion, the corresponding suggestions are proposed.

关 键 词：铁路运输 区域经济 相关性 协调性 

分 类 号：F530[经济管理—产业经济]