层次分析-模糊综合评判法在突出危险区域预测中的应用  

Application of AHP-FCE Method in Coal and Gas Burst Area Prediction

作　　者：徐浩[1] 李希建[1,2] 陈守坤[1] 肖俊贤[1] 

机构地区：[1]贵州大学矿业学院,贵州贵阳550003 [2]中国矿业大学安全工程学院,江苏徐州221116

出　　处：《煤矿开采》2010年第1期15-18,22,共5页Coal Mining Technology

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划专题(BAB08B01);贵州省科技厅工业攻关项目(黔科合GY字(3029))

摘　　要：将层次分析法和模糊综合评判方法[1]结合起来应用于煤与瓦斯突出危险区域预测研究中,运用层次分析法确定了煤与瓦斯突出各影响因素的权重值,采用隶属度作为定量化工具,构造了单因素判别矩阵,采用二级模糊评判建立了煤与瓦斯突出区域预测模型,并将该模型应用于某煤矿的突出区域预测及划分中,并与其他预测划分方法进行对比,结果表明,应用层次分析-模糊综合评判方法进行煤与瓦斯突出区域预测是可行的。This paper combined AHP and FCE to research prediction of coal and gas burst area. It applied AHP to determining weighting of influence factors of coal and gas burst and applied degree of membership to structuring discrimination matrix of single factor. It built up a prediction model for coal and gas burst area with secondary fuzzy evaluation and applied this model to predicting coal and gas burst area of a colliery. By comparison with other prediction method, result showed that AHP-FCE method was feasible for predicting coal and gas burst area.

关 键 词：层次分析 模糊综合评判 突出区域预测 

分 类 号：TD713.2[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]