车市波动规律的新发展  

New Development of Automotive Market Fluctuation Rules

作　　者：王福民 

机构地区：[1]天津市

出　　处：《天津汽车》2010年第1期15-16,25,共3页Tianjin AUTO

摘　　要：为分析中国车市当前发展趋势,给汽车产销单位和领导机关决策提供参考,文章采用"车市波动分析法",从宏观经济与车市波动关系入手,进行数据处理,作出车市波动图和数据表。分析研究后得出以下结论:中国车市2009年底已进入"第6次扩张高峰期",达到创纪录的新水平,但后继波动恐难避免。文章根据中国车市发展实际提出波形组成内容变化新建议。In order to analyze the developing trend of automotive market in China and provide reference for automotive manufacturers, dealers and decision-makers, fluctuation analytical method of auto market is adopted. From the relationships between macro-economy and auto market fluctuation, fluctuant graph and data sheet is made. We can conclude that in the end of 2009 China＇s auto market had been in the 6th expanding peak period and had reached the new record. But subsequent fluctuating cannot be avoidable. Based on the practical development of auto market in China, new suggestions of the composition change of wave graph are put forward.

关 键 词：第6次扩张高峰期 扩张系数 扩张效应 收缩效应 

分 类 号：F426.471[经济管理—产业经济]