工业结构变迁的动因和类型——新中国60年工业化历程回顾  

The Motivation and Classification of Industrial Structure Changes:A Review of the Process of Industrialization in China 60 Years

作　　者：李博[1,2] 曾宪初[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北经济学院 [2]华中科技大学工商管理博士后流动站

出　　处：《经济评论》2010年第1期50-57,共8页Economic Review

基　　金：湖北社科基金"湖北经济又好又快发展的评价指标及其机制研究"([2009]109);教育部人文社科项目"产业结构优化升级的综合测评和动态监测研究"(09YJC790073);全国统计科研计划项目"中国地区产业结构优化升级评价指标体系研究"(2009LY033)提供的资助

摘　　要：本文从工业结构的视角对新中国60年工业化历程进行了回顾和分析。构建了一个探讨工业结构变迁动力机制的分析框架,并在此基础上分析了新中国成立以来工业结构变迁的动因和类型。结果表明:1978年之前,中国工业结构演变趋势极不稳定,且与发达国家工业化的一般规律存在很大差异,原因在于政府过度干预工业结构演变过程。1978年以来,中国工业结构明显升级,趋势稳定性逐步增强,先后出现了适应需求结构和要素结构的两轮工业结构变迁,此外国际贸易和国际投资对我国工业结构变迁的影响力正不断加强。PRC＇ s 60 years industrialization course is reviewed and analyzed from the perspective of industrial structure in this paper. We built an analytical framework for exploring the dynamic mechanism of industry structural change. On that basis, we analyzed the motivation and classification of industrial structure change since the founding of PRC. Our findings are as follow： Before 1978, the evolution trend of China＇ s industrial structure is very unstable,and is different from the general law of industrialization in developed countries,which is due to excessive government intervention in structural evolution. Since 1978, China＇ s industrial structure has markedly upgraded. The stability of structural change has gradually increased. To meet the demand structure and factor structure, industrial structure changed twice. The influence of international trade and international investment on China＇ s industry structural evolution has been continually strengthened.

关 键 词：工业结构 需求结构 要素结构 工业化 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]