不确定性决策中完全信息获得的事前分析  

The ex ante Analysis of Perfect Information Acquiring in Decision Making under Uncertainty

作　　者：赵恒峰[1] 邱菀华[1] 韩丽敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京航空航天大学管理学院

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》1998年第12期20-24,共5页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

摘　　要：明确了规范决策分析中信息的概念，介绍了信息获得与否的价值判断法。然后主要针对不确定性决策完全信息获得的事前分析进行了讨论，给出了单状态完全信息获得的概念和一个实际分析例子；同时对完全信息与风险态度的关系进行了简单的分析。The paper clarifies the meaning of perfect and complete information in normative decision analyzing model and introduces the information acquiring decision method in which expected value of various information is used. The ex ante analysis of perfect information acquiring in decision making under uncertainty is discussed mainly. The concept of the perfect information of single state acquiring is introduced and an example is given. The relation between the perfect information and risk attitude is discussed briefly.

关 键 词：完全信息获得 不确定性决策 决策 

分 类 号：O225[理学—运筹学与控制论]