新一轮农业谈判关税减让对农产品贸易的影响  

The Impact of a New Round of Agriculture Negotiations on Tariff Reduction Reform on Agricultural Products Trade

作　　者：耿晔强[1] 马志敏[2] 

机构地区：[1]山西大学经济与工商管理学院,山西太原030006 [2]太原师范学院政法系,山西太原030012

出　　处：《山西大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2010年第1期93-96,共4页Journal of Shanxi University(Philosophy and Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家统计局重点课题基金资助项目(2009L2008);高等学校校内人文社会科学研究项目(0809020)

摘　　要：农产品关税减让是WTO框架中市场准入的重要内容,也是新一轮农业谈判的关键议题之一。以主要谈判方提出的农产品关税减让模式为基础,利用农业贸易政策模拟模型(Agricultural Trade Policy Simulation Model)对主要成员国农产品贸易进行定量分析。结果表明:关税减让改革将使世界农产品价格上升,从而刺激发展中国家的农业生产,并改善其贸易状况;而欧盟的农业生产将大幅减少,农产品进口增加,农产品贸易平衡将恶化。Tariff reduction in agricultural products is an important aspect of market access in WTO framework. It is also one of the key issues in a new round of negotiations on agriculture. This paper evaluates the effects of a new round of negotiations on agriculture tariff reduction reform on agricultural products trade in China and other main member countries by using ATPSM. The results show that tariff reform may raise world agricultural prices, thus promoting the agricultural production of developing member countries and improving the balance of agricultural trade. While,as a consequence, the European Union would significantly reduce the agricultural production and increase the imports of agricultural products, hence the agricultural trade balance will deteriorate.

关 键 词：农业谈判 关税减让 农产品贸易 ATPSM 

分 类 号：F740.41[经济管理—国际贸易]