基于乘数原理的黑龙江省产业投资效应分析  

Analysis on Industrial Investment Effect of Heilongjiang Province Based on Theory of Multiplier

作　　者：吴新文[1] 傅文君[1] 

机构地区：[1]黑龙江科技学院,哈尔滨150027

出　　处：《技术经济》2010年第2期50-53,共4页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：黑龙江省普通高等学校青年学术骨干支持计划项目(1153G033)

摘　　要：投资乘数是近年来决策层和学术界较为关注的热点问题之一,它反映的是一定量的投资对于总收入所发生的连锁反应和推动作用。本文从投资乘数的涵义出发,建立产业投资乘数的测算模型,通过回归分析得出其乘数值。并以黑龙江省装备制造业为例说明投资乘数的计算过程,结果显示装备制造业的投资乘数值较大,说明其对黑龙江省经济的拉动作用显著。Investment multiplier is a hot spot issue concerned by decision-maker and academia recently,and it reflects the chain reaction and impetus of investment towards gross income. Starting from the meaning of investment multiplier, this paper establishes the calculation model for industrial investment multiplier,and gets multiplier value by the analysis of regression. Taking the equipment manufacture in Heilongjiang province for the example,it calculates its multiplier value. The results show that the equipment manufacture has great pulling effects on the economic development of Heilongjiang for the large multiplier value.

关 键 词：投资乘数 回归分析 产业投资效应 黑龙江省 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F127