我国制造业国际市场竞争力的发展趋势及其决定因素的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis on Developing Trend and Determinants of International Competitiveness in China Manufacturing

作　　者：卫迎春[1] 李凯[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学经济学院,430074

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2010年第3期99-104,共6页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社科基金(02BJY121)的部分成果

摘　　要：本文实证分析了我国制造业国际市场竞争力的发展趋势及其决定因素。改革开放以来,我国制造业出口额不断增加,国际市场竞争力和竞争潜力快速提升。到2007年,我国已成为全球制造大国,但离制造强国还有一定距离。计量模型很好地(99.7%)解释了我国制造业国际市场竞争力发展的原因,研发投入、行业集中度、人均资本、劳动力效率和汇率对我国制造业国际市场竞争力有显著的影响,作用方向也与预期一致,但外商直接投资对我国制造业国际市场竞争力有不显著的和负面的直接影响,对我国制造业国际市场竞争力的作用更多体现为表面性或间接性而非直接的正面作用。This paper analyzes empirically the developing trend and decisive factors of interna- tional competitiveness in China manufacturing. Since China＇ s reform and opening-up, manufacturing product export has been increasing with the improvement of intemational competitiveness and the competitive potential. Until 2007, China has become a big manufacturing country in the world, but it＇ s far from being a strong one. The model in this paper has perfectly explained the reasons of its development. The expenditure of R＆D, industry concentration, capital per capita, labor productivi- ty and exchange rate have remarkable influences on the industry as expected except foreign direct in- vestment which has negative effect. Maybe the influence of FDI on manufacturing is appearing to be more superficial or indirect.

关 键 词：制造业 国际市场竞争力 发展趋势 决定因素 

分 类 号：F426.81[经济管理—产业经济] F426.4