基于灰色评判的低需求型车辆器材需求函数确定模型  

A Model for Determining Demand Distribution Function of Low Demand Maintaining Material Based on the Grey Theory

作　　者：王亮[1] 任聪[1] 张大鹏[1] 杜俊霖[1] 

机构地区：[1]军事交通学院,天津300161

出　　处：《物流科技》2010年第3期123-126,共4页Logistics Sci-Tech

摘　　要：为解决器材管理人员在确定低需求器材需求分布函数时没有进行假设检验而采用过于主观的方法从而导致需求预测不准的的问题,本文运用模糊灰色评判的方法构建了低需求车辆器材需求函数确定模型,并通过实例验证了其正确性和可行性,事实证明该方法可充分利用灰色理论在处理小样本数据和模糊数学的优点来较客观的确定器材的需求函数,从而有效提高预测效率。In order to solve the problem that it is too subjective to choose a proper method on demand function which leads to predict unprecisely, a judging method of low demand maintaining material is established on the basis of the fuzzy and grey theory. And its correctness and feasibility are tested in a practical example. This method can take advantage of grey theory and fuzzy mathematics to determine demand function of maintaining material objectively, which could enhance the efficiency of prediction.

关 键 词：低需求器材 需求分布函数 模糊灰色评判 

分 类 号：F406.3[经济管理—产业经济]