基于风险矩阵和模糊集的绿色制造实施风险评估方法  

Green manufacturing implementation assessment method based on risk matrix and fuzzy set theory

作　　者：李聪波[1] 刘飞[1] 谭显春[2] 李彩贞[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学机械传动国家重点实验室,重庆400030 [2]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100080

出　　处：《计算机集成制造系统》2010年第1期209-214,共6页Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50605066);国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2006BAF02A01);中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所所长基金资助项目(0900031J01)~~

摘　　要：为了给企业在实施绿色制造过程中面临的风险评估提供参考,从可行的技术、管理和组织措施方面探讨了绿色制造实施全过程的风险种类。提出了基于风险矩阵和模糊集理论的绿色制造实施风险评估方法,将模糊集理论用于确定风险矩阵的两个关键变量,即风险影响等级和风险概率。最后,以某机床制造企业绿色制造实施中的风险评估为例,验证了上述评估方法的可行性和实践性。To provide reference for risk assessment during Green Manufacturing（GM） implementation in the manufacturing enterprises,risk types in entire GM implementation process were discussed from feasible technology,management and organizational measure perspectives.A GM implementation risk evaluation method based on risk matrix and fuzzy set theory was proposed.Fuzzy set theory was used to identify the two key factors in the risk matrix,i.e.risk impact level and probability of occurrence.Finally,the feasibility and practicability were verified by an example of GM risk assessment in a machine tool manufacturing enterprise.

关 键 词：绿色制造 风险评估 风险矩阵 模糊集理论 

分 类 号：TH186[机械工程—机械制造及自动化]