中国服务业全要素生产率增长及其收敛分析  

The Total Factor Productivity Growth and Convergence Analysis for China's Service Industry

作　　者：刘兴凯[1,2] 张诚[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学国际经济研究所 [2]天津理工大学

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2010年第3期55-67,95,共14页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

摘　　要：本文使用非参数的Malmquist指数方法测算了中国28个省区市1978～2007年服务业全要素生产率(TFP)变动情况,并从技术效率和技术进步两个方面对中国服务业全要素生产率变化的阶段性和区域性特点进行了分析。结果表明,改革开放以来,中国服务业TFP不断提高,但增长幅度呈阶段性下降态势。随着服务业资本深化过程的推进,服务业增长的要素推动作用相当明显,而TFP的增长贡献则逐渐降低,而且,在TFP的变化中,技术进步的"增长效应"明显,但技术效率的"水平效应"相对有限。在空间分布上,TFP增长及其分解存在东部、中部和西部的区域性差异,但收敛检验表明,各省区市的TFP增长呈现出长期的收敛趋势。Based on the provincial panel data for 1978--2007, the article measures the TFP growth of service industry for China＇s 28 provinces by using non-parametric Malmquist index method, and analyze stage and regional characteristics on the TFP growth of service industry from the aspects of technical efficiency and technological progress. The result shows that TFP in China＇s service industry continues to increase, but the growth rate shows a trend of stage decline. With the process of capital deepening in the service sector, the role of factor inputs for the services growth is very obvious, while the contribution of TFP growth is gradually reduced. In the TFP change, the ＂growth effect＂ of technological progress is obvious, but the ＂level effect＂ of technical efficiency is relatively limited. In the spatial distribution, the TFP growth shows obvious difference among the three areas-the east, middle, and west, however, in the convergence test, the long-run convergence trend of TFP growth is shown.

关 键 词：服务业全要素生产率 技术效率 技术进步 MALMQUIST指数 收敛 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学]