美国2000年和2010年人口普查质量评估方法解读  

Interpretation of the Quality Assesment Methods for the U.S.Census 2000 and 2010

作　　者：胡桂华[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西财经学院数学与统计系,广西南宁市530003

出　　处：《数理统计与管理》2010年第2期262-276,共15页Journal of Applied Statistics and Management

摘　　要：人口普查后独立组织一次调查估计其覆盖误差率。美国从1980年开始在人口普查的事后质量检查中使用双系统估计量来估计人口总体真实人口数,并依据它来估计普查的覆盖误差率。后来,这种估计量在世界上其他一些国家人口普查的事后质量检查中也先后被采用。本文以美国2000年人口普查的事后质量检查方案ACE和2010年将要实施的新方案CCM为基础,解读构造双系统估计量的若干理论与实践问题。A post-census survey will be independently carried out in order to estimate the percent coverage error. Starting with 1980, the United States began to use the dual-system estimator to estimate the true count of the population in the post-enumeration quality survey of the census, and use it to estimate the percent coverage error. Later, a number of other countries in the world have also adopted this estimator in their post-enumeration quality survey of the census. This paper will interpret several theoretical and practical problems on the dual-system estimator based on the 2000 program ACE and 2010 new program CCM of the post-enumeration quality survey of the United States.

关 键 词：人口普查 事后质量检查 捕获-再捕获模型 双系统估计量 

分 类 号：O212[理学—概率论与数理统计]