航空公司安全系统风险的模糊综合评价研究  

Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of risk in airline safety system

作　　者：文军[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国民航飞行学院航空运输管理学院,广汉618307

出　　处：《中国安全生产科学技术》2010年第1期44-48,共5页Journal of Safety Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(编号:60472128);民航飞行技术与飞行安全科研基地开放基金项目(编号:F2005zd03)

摘　　要：对航空公司安全系统风险进行科学的评价,是确保其安全运行的有效措施。针对影响航空公司安全系统风险诸多因素具有的模糊性,引入模糊综合评价理论对航空公司安全系统风险进行风险评价,构建了航空公司安全系统风险评价的指标体系,建立了基于模糊综合评价的航空公司安全系统风险评价模型。并结合实例进行了计算,结果表明该方法能有效地利用评价指标的信息,科学合理地综合评价航空公司的安全系统风险状况,具有可操作性和实用性。Risk assessment to airline company safety system is an effective measure to ensure flight safety operating of an airline company. In this assessment, there are lots of fuzzy factors affeeting the safety system of an airline company, so the fuzzy theory was introduced to assess the risk of the airline company safety system. In this paper, an index system of airline company safety system risk assessment was established. A model of airline company safe- ty system risk assessment based on fuzzy comprehensive theory was also set up. An example was given to show the application of the method. The result showed that this method is rational and pragmatic in airline company safety system risk evaluation.

关 键 词：航空公司 安全系统风险管理 风险评价 模糊综合评价 

分 类 号：X92[环境科学与工程—安全科学]