船舶溢油应急处置群体选择偏好  

Group choice preference in ship oil spill emergency response

作　　者：王立坤[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海200135

出　　处：《上海海事大学学报》2010年第1期12-15,20,共5页Journal of Shanghai Maritime University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70673060)

摘　　要：由于船舶溢油应急处置决策一般由群体给出,在对应急处置群体选择的要素进行形式化描述的基础上,利用同质委员会、非同质委员会和层级模型等决策规则,给出溢油事故报告、溢油先期处置、现场查看、应急计划启动和清污方法制定的群体选择偏好.研究表明,对于有唯一正确方案的决策事件,采用委员会和1票规则可保证该方案的准确和及时实施;对于存在若干不同方案的事件,采用层级规则可提高群体选择方案的准确率.Because the decision-making in ship oil spill emergency response is given by the group in general, models of the homogeneous committees, the non-homogeneous committees and the hierarchies are used to set up the group choice preference of the events including oil spill incident reporting, oil spill initial treatment, on-site view, contingency plan start-up and contaminant removing method generation, based on the formal description of the elements of group choice. Studies shows that ： the committees and one voting rule may ensure the project execution correctly and immediately for the decision event with an exclusive right project, while the hierarchical rule can improve the accuracy of group options for the event with several different target projects.

关 键 词：溢油 应急处置 群体选择偏好 委员会规则 层级规则 组织 

分 类 号：U698.7[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程] C934[交通运输工程—船舶与海洋工程]