台湾地区与欧洲贸易投资关系的定量分析  

Econometric Analysis on the Trade and Investment Relations between Europe and Taiwan

作　　者：舒萍[1] 沈妍[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,天津300071

出　　处：《华侨大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2010年第1期21-29,共9页Journal of Huaqiao University(Philosophy & Social Sciences)

摘　　要：欧洲与台湾地区之间的贸易和相互投资在台湾对外贸易、吸引外资和对外投资中所占的比重虽然长期低于美国和日本,但台湾地区与欧洲之间经贸关系的发展却最能反映台湾通过提升自身的经济竞争力逐步融入世界经济体系的过程。而且,近些年来,欧洲对台湾地区经济增长的影响力不断上升,已经成为影响台湾经济增长的重要因素之一。向量自回归模型的分析也显示,欧洲对台湾地区的投资对台湾的经济增长具有显著且持久的影响力,而台湾地区GDP对台湾地区与欧洲之间的贸易也具有很强的拉动作用。The trade and investment relationship between Taiwan and Europe, while not as large as Taiwan-US and Taiwan -Japan investment and trade, is the best mirror which reflects how Taiwan＇s economy integrated into the world system successfully. Moreover, in recent years, Europe＇s influence on Taiwan＇s economic growth has been increasing. The Vector auto-regression model analysis demonstrates that the European investment in Taiwan has a significant and lasting influence to the Taiwan＇s economic growth, while Taiwan＇s GDP has a strong stimulating role on Taiwan-Europe trade.

关 键 词：台湾地区 欧洲 贸易 投资 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]