人员疏散研究方法探讨  

Discussion on research methodologies of evacuation

作　　者：潘黎鹂[1] 陈涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学公共安全研究中心,北京100084

出　　处：《消防科学与技术》2010年第3期214-217,共4页Fire Science and Technology

摘　　要：基于复杂性科学理论,从人员疏散系统的特性入手,提出人员疏散系统是一类特殊的复杂巨系统的观点。通过调研复杂巨系统研究方法以及国内外人员疏散的研究历史和发展现状,概括人员疏散系统研究方法为"基础数据收集整理-建模仿真-结果分析和实验验证-调整参数和修正模型",并与复杂巨系统的"综合集成法"相比较,指出人员疏散研究中所遇到的难点及突破口在于人员疏散模型的综合化,需要系统思想和复杂巨系统理论的指导。Based on the theory of complex science,the character-istics of evacuation system are analyzed,and the perspective that the evacuation system is one type of special complex giant system is proposed.After the investigation and research of complex giant system methodologies and literatures of evacuation both home and aboard,the research method of evacuation is summarized as ＂data collection and analysis-modeling and simulation-results analysis and experiment validation-model improvement and parameters adjustment＂.Compared with metasynthetic engineering,it is pointed out that the breakthrough of the evacuation research is the comprehensive development of the evacuation model,and the guidance for the system thought and complex science is important.

关 键 词：人员疏散 复杂巨系统 综合集成法 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TU972[建筑科学—建筑设计及理论]