配电侧购电风险规避模型综述  

Review on models of avoiding power purchase risk in power distribution side

作　　者：柏小丽[1] 雷霞[1] 程政[1] 刘通 

机构地区：[1]四川西华大学电气信息学院,成都610039 [2]四川崇州崇明电力有限公司,四川崇州611200

出　　处：《电力需求侧管理》2010年第2期19-23,共5页Power Demand Side Management

基　　金：西华大学研究生创新基金(ycjj200934)

摘　　要：分析了从电价的预测、购电电量的合理分配、金融工具的运用的各类数学模型,并对同一类模型的优缺点进行了比较,从而使配电侧在购电时能更好地掌握购电策略,减小购电风险,最后对配电侧规避购电风险的发展趋势进行了展望。This paper summarizes mathematical models of the price forecasts, a rational allocation of the electricity consumption purchase, the use of financial instruments in order to circumvent the risk of the electricity purchase. At the same time advantages and disadvantages of the same type of models are compared so that the purchase side of electricity distribution better grasps purchase strategy, reduces the risk of the electricity purchase. At last the development trend of power purehase risk avoiding at the power distribution side is prospected.

关 键 词：购电侧 电力市场 电价波动 风险规避 

分 类 号：F407.61[经济管理—产业经济]