成渝经济区经济重心演变路径、建模及预测——基于投资与收益视角分析  

The Evolution Track、Modeling and Predicting of Economic Gravity Center in ChengYu Economic Region——Analysis based on Investment and Income Perspective

作　　者：任平[1,2] 曾永明[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]四川师范大学西南土地资源评价与监测教育部重点实验室,四川成都610066 [2]四川师范大学地理与资源科学学院,四川成都610066

出　　处：《经济管理》2010年第3期39-45,共7页Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )

基　　金：四川省哲学社会科学"十一五"规划研究项目"成渝经济区人口;经济重心演变路径及产业布局研究"(SC08C026);四川省教育厅自然科学重点研究项目"统筹城乡区域协调发展的理论与实践--成都市的实证分析"(2006A073)

摘　　要：本文应用重心模型理论,选择中国新兴经济区——成渝经济区为研究对象,从区域投资与收益重心变化及其协调性角度出发,并以投资和收益双指标权衡处理后作为区域经济重心,探讨了成渝经济区经济发展的特征及重心演变路径。在此基础上,将其经济重心空间移动轨迹拟合成数学模型,找出其演变规律并进行预测,并通过GIS技术实现空间表达,对成渝经济区的"双核"经济增长极模式进行了深入分析和探讨。With the gravity center model theory, this paper analyzes the economic characteristics and the evolution track of economic gravity center of ChengYu economic region, which is a newly arisen economic region in china, and these analyses are based on the perspective of regional investment and income, and taking the treated resnh of them by a tradeoff method as the regional economic gravity center. After that, fitting the evolution track to a mathematical model, finding out its evolution law and predicting its trend. Using GIS technology, this paper also makes a deeply discussion on the model of binuclear economic growth pole of ChengYu economic region.

关 键 词：重心空间演变 投资收益协调 “双核”增长极 路径建模 成渝经济区 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]