基于ESDA的闽西发展不平衡格局动态分析  

Dynamic Analysis of Western Fujian Region Development Uneven Patterns Based on ESDA

作　　者：陈文成[1] 

机构地区：[1]泉州师范学院资源与环境科学学院,福建泉州362000

出　　处：《地理与地理信息科学》2010年第2期67-71,共5页Geography and Geo-Information Science

基　　金：福建省科技厅重点科技项目(2003R025);福建省自然科学基金项目(2008J0246)

摘　　要：区域发展不平衡格局动态涉及空间、时间、属性多维信息,根据1999-2007年闽西区域经济面板数据,构建空间时态数据库。筛选20项指标构建县域经济综合评价指标体系,进行县域经济粒度闽西区域发展变权法三维评价。在此基础上,从县域经济综合角度,应用基于空间探索分析的全局空间相关分析、热点分析及相应的局域统计分析等方法,通过探测县域经济空间联系模式挖掘闽西发展不平衡格局图式与动态,并利用时空一体化模型逼近。Given the dynamic of region development uneven pattern comes down to multidimensional information, such as space, time and attribute,so the GIS is introduced to build the spatial and tense database of feature-oriented model, according to the panel data of 1999--2007 on Western Fujian region economy. Screening 20 county-level indicators of economic evaluation, with ＂ the same index system,different weight vectors as the variable weights method, the comprehensive evaluation system of the different county economy features in Western Fujian will be realized. From the comprehensive development of county economy, with county polygon adjacency matrices as the spatial weight matrix, based on the spatial exploratory data analysis by the different space scale of the county economy spatial relation model, the view of region development uneven pattern is expressed. Firstly, according to the global Moran＇s I coefficient time sequence, spatial agglomeration model of different level or similar level and its statistical significance is detec- ted,so as to excavate spatial uneven in regional development in Western Fujian and its dynamic process from the large-scale space. Secondly, all kinds of local contact models of county economy are surveyed by Moran scatter plot chart,and the hot region of space link is detected through the Getis＇s G; （d） and GIS neighborhood analysis, so as to excavate the unbalanced develop- ment pattern in Western Fujian by the county economy mining-scale space contact model and to deductive the space dynamic process of the unbalanced development pattern using the time model and GIS spatio-temporal map overlap model. Empirical results show that the regional development unbalanced pattern dynamic analysis and expressions are effective.

关 键 词：区域发展 探索性空间数据分析 不平衡格局 动态 闽西 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]